INTRODUCTION

My name is René and I'm an ambitious fulltime Tipster from Berlin in Germany. Since my childhood I am interessting in the first Bundesliga. With my knowledge I'm in a position to gain me advantageous against Odd Compilers. I only betting on this league and this with a great success. Many people think that it is impossible to be successful in the first Bundesliga for a long time- I will prove that it's possible! In my Analysis you will not find any H2H stats etc, because these Statistics are already included in the Odds and for me it's have nothing to do with good Analysis. Rather I analyze my selected Games to the Strengths and Weaknesses of Teams. This isn’t so easy because you must be able to read a game- I have this task and that is the reason why I am making profit on the longer term. For every game I write a comprehensive Preview, where you can find the reason for my decisions.I watch every Game in this league and knows exactly what is going on. I often have important information even before many compilers.
My Target Yield is 8-12% monthly on Bookmakers like SBOBET, ACBET and 188bet. On Blogabet you maybe find a few Tipsters with a Yield about 8% monthly but on european Bookmakers like Bwin or so on. But this isn't a skill, because the Odds in asia are lower then in Europe and it’s much more difficult to be successfull there. Every Tipster who makes good profit on european Bookmakers like Bwin, will be limited very fast. Therfore I place my Bets only on asien bookmakers like sbobet,acbet and so on, because they don’t limit sucessfull Tipsters. On Blogabet I try to use only Odds from PinnacleSports and 188Bet, please note that when you are looking at my Odds and ROI.

I publish my Bets/Analysis here in future 1 hour before kickoff. I place my Bets with my subcribers but much earlier to secure me the best Odd. Therefore the Odds can deviates and sometimes they will haven not the value that I played with my clients. Some Picks with hugh value I post only as private Picks. My Results of the last season can be found below.

Results:

Results of 1. German Bundesliga season 2010/2011:
Total W-L-V: 12-7-0 Staked: 65.00 Return: 79.87
Profit: +14.87, Yield: 22.88%

Results of 1. German Bundesliga season 2011/2012:
Total W-L-V: 42-32-2 Staked: 309.00 Return: 358.19
Profit: +49.19, Yield: 15.91%

MAILING-LIST

I offer for People who want to get the picks earlyer a Mailing list. I deliver around 15 picks per Month with detailed Analysis. All Picks based on asian lines from Bookmakers like acbet, sbobet or 188bet. You get the Picks per Email and if you wish also per SMS. An other Advantage is that you get the Picks much earlyer what gives you the Chance to benefit from the dropping Odds.

More Information on request.

Contact/Questions: rene.rw20@hotmail.de

Sc Freiburg-Bayern München
Pick: Bayern München (-1.5)
Odds: 1.80 Pinnacle
Stake: 2/10

Bayern is since last week in form and won against Lautern easy with 2:0. Bad news came from midfielder Bastian Schweinsteiger he is injured and is missing in the next weeks. For him will play Alaba who is one of the hughest talents on this position. Against Lautern you could seen how important the tactically switch was. For some weeks Bayern played in midfield with Schweinsteiger and Kroos in defensive midfield. This Duo is too offensive in my eyes and both are tactically too strong for this position. One of them is good both too much. Kroos is better on the 10 as creative man. He knows exactly when he have to play the pass and you have the feeling that he has a lot of experience with his 21 years. Robben is sitting today on the bank, Müller is at the moment stronger and will begin. Here you can find the first reason for this Bet. Bayern makes ever much pressure in the first half and scored after Dortmund the second most times. I except here a same story. In Halftime 2 will get Robben his chance, everybody of you know how fast he is and what I see under the week from him in training underline my theory. He is so motivated and becomes better and better.Freiburgs Defensive will get then many problems. Tactically Bayern will play in a 4-2-2-1-1.

Freiburg played last week 2:3 in Wolfsburg and the week before 2:2 against Bremen. In the last 3 macthes they got 8 goals. The reason you can find when you look which important players are missing. With Krmas, Mujdza are missing to important defenders. Also Putsila and Schuster are missing for offensive Actions. Last week against Wolfsburg they only scored two times because of the bad defensive playing by Wolfsburg. Everytimes when Wolfsburg make some pressure the defensive got many problems. Tactically they will begin in a 4-1-4-1 formation. The Defensive is in my eyes to bad for the the first Bundesliga.

I except here a game which will be dominate by Bayern München. They are able to keep the zero in this match and they are good enough in offensive to score more than 2 or 3 goals. Freiburg is the perfect opponent at the moment. I think we will see here a 0:2 or 0:3.

Possible line-up:

Baumann-Sorg,Diagné,Höhn,Lumb-Schmid,Flum,Makiadi,Caliguari-Rosenthal-Jendrisek

Neuner-Rafinha,Boateng,Badstuber,Lahm-Luis Gustavo,Alaba-Müller,Kroos,Ribery-Gomez

Hamburger SV-Werder Bremen
Pick: Werder Bremen (+0.5)
Odds: 1.86 Pinnacle
Stake: 5/10

Werder Bremen played last week against Hoffenheim 1:1. Of course, Hoffenheim played very strong in this match but all in all Bremen could not make enough danger without Claudio Pizzaro to win the match. Bremen scored in minute 88 and draw the match by Arnautovic what was all in all satisfied. The late Goal was very important for the team moral and the self confidens. Against Hamburg will return Pizzaro back in the team and first eleven. So only Naldo, Prödl, Borowski and Hunt are missing. Naldo and Prödl are normally important players, you could seen it in last matches for example in Freiburg (2:2) or against Hoffenheim (1:1) they ever got a goal and the defensive was one of the reasons that Werder Bremen is waiting now since 5 matches for a win. Against Hamburg will start Fritz, Affolter, Sokratis and Harzberg in Defensive. Harzberg will begin for Schmitz, what is a good choise in my opinion because he is faster and is able to produce more danger in offensive as Schmitz. Today Harzberg have to play against Sala where I see good chances for Harzberg to stop him. On the other side will play Fritz against Jansen. Fritz has enough experience and is strong enough to win his personal Duel on the right side. For Sokratis and Affolter it will be a hard fight against Guerrero and Petric. Both Deffenders are strong in headplaying but not so fast. So Bargfrede have to support them and have to stop them already in midfield. Tactically coach Schaaf will play in a 4-1-2-1-2 formation. Trybull and Ignovski comes over the outsides and Junuzovic is the new man in midfield. Ekici is also an alternative but he didn’t convinced in last matches like Marco Marin who is also sitting next to him on the bank.

Lets talk about Hamburg:

Last week they won in Köln with 1:0 and celebrate a last minute win by the goal of Guerrero in the 89 minute. They were the better team over 90minutes and the win was all in all satisfied. I was last week also on Hamburg but that was a result of the missing players and tactically harmless playing by Köln. Today comes a stronger team which is able to beat Hamburg in the nord Derby.

Hamburg is in my eyes to unstable in their performances and in my eyes the team is not good enough in quality to go higher in table. They are play to often the draw. Today will return Rincon back in the first eleven for Kacar, when you read my Reasing Köln-HSV you know why I like the Duo Jarolim/Kacar more than the Duo Jarolim/Rincon. Bruma is also fit but coach Fink was satisfied with Rajkovic and so Brumas place is against Werder on the Bank. Töre is still missing what is not easy to reject but that is no secret. Tactically Hamburg will play in a 4-2-2-2 formation to beat Bremen.

The line on Werder Bremen is in my eyes too high in this match. I except odds from 1,85 on AHC lines to +0.25 but the market gives lines to AHC +0,5 to better Odds and so we have here in my eyes a value Bet. It will be a Duell on eye level, Bremen is all in all the stronger team but the form speaks for Hamburg. Motivation is today no problem for both teams because for the fans is this Duell the most important one of the year. It is the Nord Derby, both teams hate each other a lot. Much speaks in this match for a draw and I take the AHC with this great Odds on Bremen.

Possible line up:

Drobny-Diekmeier,Westermann,Rajkovic,Aogo-Rincon,Jarolim-Sala,Jansen-Petric,Guerrero

Wiese-Fritz,Affolter,Sokratis,Harzberg-Bargfrede-Ignovski,Trybull-Junozovic-Pizzaro,Arnautovic

Discuss in forum (7 entries)

TSG Hoffenheim-FSV Mainz 05
Pick: TSG Hoffenheim -0.25
Odds: 2.04
Stake: 3Units
 
In the friday evening match Hoffenheim receives Mainz 05. Hoffenheim played last week in bremen 1:1 and showed under the new coach Babbel a good performance. It was an other team like before, they played together and convinced with team spirit. New Coach Babbel let play in a 4-2-2-1-1 formation. This is his prefferred system with whom he had been successful by Hertha BSC. In Hoffenheim he had good players for this system. Babel and Vukcevic over the outsides and Firmino behing Lakic in the front. Salihovic and Rudy played in the defensive midfield. Salihovic always bulit the Game and Rudy has more tasks in Defensive. All in all it worked in Bremen last week very good, only worse thing was that they didnt use their chances for the second goal and then it was all in all ok that Bremen draw thr match in the 88minute. Today the team has no Failures and can play with the best eleven.
 
Mainz played the last two matches the draw, last week at home against Hannover and before 1:1 in Schalke. Last week they played in the first halftime very good and were in leadership but then Hannover get stronger and stronger because Mainz let them to much place. The result was that Hannover scored in the last 2 minutes and draw the match. The best man by Mainz is in the last weeks Mohamend Zidan. After his return he scored in 2 matches 2 times. Today is Bungert missing on the left side in Defensive. Also Pospech is mssing. On the LV is playing so Malik Fathi against Hoffenheim. It will be an interesting Duell between him and Vukcevic (or alternative Mlapa) Hoffenheims offensive is tactically very strong with players like Firmino or Salihovic. But that isnt their only good property, they are very fast with Babel and Vukcevic or alternative Mlapa and can switch between their fast and tactically game. Mainz is very difficult to estimate but i except that they begin against Hoffenheim in a 4-3-1-2 formation. All in all i except that Mainz will get against Hoffenheim many problems in Defenisve.
 
All in all I see here today some advantages for Hoffenheim. In the first match under Babbel they showed last week that they find back to their play and team spirit what is the important thing for this team. Mainz is today a good opponent and it will be interessting to see which performances we will see by the defensives. Both Teams have good offensive players to score here but all in all i except that Hoffenheim will win over 90minute. Odds of 1.90 good playable!

Possible line-up:
 
Starke - Beck, Vestergaard, Compper, Johnson - Rudy, Salihovic - Vukcevic, Roberto Firmino, Babel - Lakic
 
Wetklo - Zabavnik, Kirchhoff, Noveski, Fathi - M. Caligiuri, Polanski, Soto - Zidan - Szalai, Choupo-Moting
 

Hey guys, the 21. matchday is over and we already make a solid Profit.

Profit Blog: 2.53

Profit Subcriber: 2.90 (+0.37)

Regards, Rene

Discuss in forum (6 entries)

FC Köln- Hamburger SV
Pick: Hamburger SV -0.25
Odds: 2.04 188bet
Stake: 3 Units

In the Sunday afternoon match Köln receives Hamburg. Köln won last week in Kaiserslautern and has now a 6 points lead of the relegation place 16. I watched the match against Lautern very intensive and all in all they won a little bit luckily. Kaiserslautern played 60 minutes with 10 men and the goal for Köln was a result of a corner. Lautern had still chances to draw the match after the lead of köln but it was very difficult with 10 men for a so harmless team like kaiserslautern. Today Podolski is missing again, without him it is very difficult to produce danger. Novakovic is too often alone in the centre and is waiting for good passes from the outsides. For Podolski will play Peszko again over left and Jajalo again in the offensive midfield. Tactically they begin in the same formation which they played in Kaiserslautern; 4-2-2-1-1. Brecko is also missing as well as Chichi and Petit. In the IV McKenna will begin next to Geromel. McKenna is a very slow player who lives from his headplaying. In my eyes it would be difficult for him and Geromel to defend against Petric and Guerrero. If Hamburg will play low and fast then they can come to good chances. Köln is a very unstable team and the table cheat a little bit at the moment where they stand.
Hamburg played last week against Bayern at home 1:1 and even the first halftime was very good. In the second half Bayern made a lot of pressure and draw the match. But all in all I was satisfied with their performance. Hamburg had in the last weeks many Injured players but they never give up and still showed good performances. Today will be missing Rincon, Töre and Berg. Sala will playing again for Töre. Against Bayern he scored and showed that he is a good alternative. He is fast and runs a lot, that is what coach Fink want to see. For Rincon will play Jarolim next to Kacar. I like this Duo, both are not so tactically strong like Rincon but they have a lot of experience and are stronger in defensive playing. The Playing by Hamburg is living of the outsides with Sala and Jansen. Also Petric is going many ways and when he get not enough balls he support the midfield to find a way to make danger. The Defensive is the problem by Hamburg in the last 3 matches they ever got a goal.

Against Bayern played Rajkovic for Bruma who is still injured. Rajkovic played in the IV very good next to Westermann. Against Köln I see many advantages for Hamburg, they are faster and are able to make enough danger aginst köln. I except a match like two weeks ago against Hertha. In the first halftime Hamburg try to make a lot of pressure to unsettle Köln in their playing! Odds much too high for the AHC -0.25 and good playable! Possible line-up:

Rensing - Sereno, McKenna, Geromel, Eichner - Clemens, Lanig, Riether, Peszko - Jajalo – Novakovic

Drobny - Diekmeier, Westermann, Rajkovic, Aogo - Kacar, Jarolim - Sala, Jansen - Petric, Guerrero

Discuss in forum (4 entries)

11/02-2012 15:30h
Dortmund- Bayer leverkusen
Pick: Leverkusen +1.25
Stake: 4 units

Normally I hate it to place a Bet against Dortmund at home. But today comes with Leverkusen a team which is able to beat them with their quality and good playing. Dortmund played under the week against Holstein kiel in the DFB Cup and won after a great performance with 4:0. Only worse thing is at the moment the Missing of Sven Bender, which is injured since 1 week. He will replaced against Leverkusen by Moritz Leitner. Dortmund is since 14 matches without a lose and at the moment at the top of the table. Other Failures are Götze and Koch. Götze is not easy to reject but kuba makes it as good as he can and all in all it was in the last weeks more then I have except from him.
Leverkusen is Away in my eyes stronger as at home because of their play. They aren’t a team who make the Game, they like it to take the fight and counter with a fast playing. By Leverkusen are missing kadlec, Sam and Derdiyok today. All of them are to be replace, Leverkusen has a large quality team with enough players who can play 2 or more positions. Tactically Dutt will play against Dortmund in a 4-1-4-1. Reinartz will begin in the defensive midfield, Schürrle comes over the left and Castro over the right side.
Bender and Rolfes are playing central and always change their roles in the offensive playing. A other alternative is sitting on the bamk: Renato Augusto is since last week fit and showed after his short use that he is able to help his team.
For kadlec will begin Oczipka. He is a good offensive Defender which is able to bind Kuba defensive. He is also fast enough to keep the pressure of the offensive actions from players like kuba and Kagawa. If Friedrich will play in the defensive is not sure, against Stuttgart he showed a bad performance and mayby he will replace by Toprak.

Leverkusen comes with enough self confidence to Dortmund and is since 6 Awaymatches without a lose. If they stand against Dortmund not to defensive and will play like for two weeks in Bremen I see here good chances for them. If they are able to take a draw is difficult to say and also depends on the performance from Dortmund, but I am sure that they will don’t loose the match with 2 goals, therefore they are to strong. Also Dortmund had always problem in the past after matches under the week and it will be interessting to see how good they are recovered. I except here all in all a closer match then many people think and Leverkusen is here not without a chance!

Possible line-up:

Weidenfeller - Piszczek, Subotic, Hummels, Schmelzer - Leitner, Kehl - Blaszczykowski, Kagawa, Großkreutz - Lewandowski

Leno - Corluka, Schwaab, M. Friedrich, Oczipka - Reinartz - Schürrle, L. Bender, Rolfes, Castro - Kießling

Discuss in forum (3 entries)

11/02-2012 18:30h
Mönchengladbach - Schalke 04

Pick: Schalke +0.25
Odds played: 1.80 current Odds: 1.71 (+0.09)
Stake: 6 Units

In the Top match of the 21. Matchday Gladbach receives Schalke. Gladbach played last week in Wolfsburg 0:0 but all in all they don’t convinced in my opinion. Wolfsburg was dominated them playful and in Hz 2 they were luckyly that they didn’t lose the match. Under the week then they played in DFB Cup against Hertha BSC Berlin and after 90 minutes it stands 0:0. Gladbach had then luck that they get a Penalty in the overtime, which was more then a present, and won. Fact is that the Team is at the moment not playing so easy and strong as a few weeks ago. Against Schalke all players are fit and Coach Favre can play in his 4-2-2-2 formation. Today it will be interesting to see if the players are rested enough to play their Game. Gladbach is living from their strong running and if the players are not at their high evel forms and not rested enough their playing is not possible.

Schalke played last week 1:1 against Mainz 05 and is now since 7 matches without a lose. Today they have to come out without Holtby, Jones and Baumjohnann. For Holby and Jones will play Höger and Moritz again, which did that job already against Mainz and showed solid performances. Raul is fit and returns back in the starting line-up for Marica. Farfan is also fit and Coach Stevens can choose which player will start over the outsides. With Farfan, Obasi, Jurado, Pukki and Draxler he has some alternatives. It looks like that Farfan will start over the right and Obasi over the left. In my eyes it is the best alternative because Daems and Jantschke are not the fastest Defender and if Schalke makes their play over the outsides fast, they can come to good chances. Tactically Schalke will playing in the 4-2-3-1 with Huntelaar in the front.

I see here a very close match with some advantages for Schalke. Gladbach didn’t convinced in the last 2 matches and played under the week 120 minutes against Hertha in a powerful match. Schalke has the fast players to beat the best defensive of the league and I am sure that they dont loose the match. Also Raul returns back into the team, he can also helps his team with his big experience.

Only worse thing is the Failure of Holby, he can organize the Game very well and is not so easy to reject. But Moritz and Höger are playing more defensivly what is in that match in my eyes also important. With Farfan, Raul and Obasi Schalke can produce enough pressure and can reject the Failure of Holby. Odds in my eyes too high for the Asian Handicap +0.25 and all in all good playable.

Possible line-up

ter Stegen - Jantschke, Brouwers, Dante, Daems - Nordtveit, Neustädter - Herrmann, Arango - Reus, Hanke

Unnerstall - Höwedes, Matip, Papadopoulos, Fuchs - Höger, Moritz - Farfan, Raul, Obasi - Huntelaar

Discuss in forum (11 entries)

Friday 10/02.2012 20:30h
Wolfsburg-SC Freiburg
Pick: Wolfsburg -0.5
Odds: 1.76 Pinnaclesports (12:15h Thursday) (+0.14)
Stake: 5 Units

In the friday evening match Wolfsburg receives Freiburg. Wolfsburg played last week against Möchenglabdach 0:0 and showed all in all a very good performance. In the second half they even dominated Gladbach playful over long time. Coach Felix Magath has now also stabilized the defensive. Felipe and Rodrigouz showed in their first matches that they are able to defend at a high level. In the defensive midfield played last week Sissoko and Jirazcek. Who will play against Freiburg is not sure, mayby Josue or Sissoko again, who showed a solid performance last week. Failures are against Freiburg not to reject, only Hitzelsperger, Vierinha and Polak are out. But Wolfsburg has the biggest team of the Bundesliga with over 36 players. Tactically they will play in a 4-2-2-2. Who will play in the front is also not sure. Mandzukic, Polter,Dejagah and Sio are alternatives. You see it is very difficult to estimate the team and find a matchplan to beat them. That is in my eyes the biggest strength of the team you never know what coach magath is thinking and how he is playing.
Freiburg is after the leaving od Cisse in transition. Itremains to be seenif Santini can replace him. Last week against Bremen they played 2:2 but all in all it was a little bit luckyly in my eyes. Bremen made not enough pressure over the long and gave freiburg so the chance to draw the match. But always if they made pressure you could seen how many problems the defensive of Freiburg had. That is the result of the missing players Krmas and Mujdza. They will be missing against Wolfsburg again and will be replace by Höhn and Diagne. Against Wolfsburg will be missing also Schuster and Putsila. The missing of Putsila is not easy to reject because he is the only player in midfield who produce danger and creative actions. He will replace by Rosenthal who is so unstable in his services as the weather. Tactially Freiburg will play in a 4-4-1-1.
I except here a dominate play of Wolfsburg. They showed last week that they are able to dominate a match also against a Team like Mönchengladbach. They defend good and are able to make the match very fast about the outsides with Dejagah and Schäfer. In the front Sio showed good performances and that Mandzukic can score he often showed this season. Freiburg is just limite intheir options. Against Wolfsburg are 4 important players out what makes it any easyer to get a point against a strong home team like Wolfsburg. All in all I think the Odds at the moment are good playable and I am sure that they fall until tomorrow to 1.70
Possible line-up:

Benaglio - Träsch, Russ, Felipe, Rodriguez - Josué, Jiracek -Dejagah, M. Schäfer - Mandzukic, Sio

Baumann - Sorg, Diagné, Höhn, Lumb - Schmid, Flum, Makiadi, D. Caligiuri - Rosenthal - Jendrisek

Discuss in forum (4 entries)

Bayer Leverkusen-VFB Stuttgart
Pick: over 2,5 Odds: 1,88 Pinnacle
Stake: 3/10

Very interessting match, I think. Bayer played last week in Bremen 1:1. Very good performance by both team in this match, very spectacular and fast. Today comes Stuttgart who didnt showed in the last two matches that they can. They lost both matches with 1:3 and 0:3 against Schalke and Gladbach. Today they are not without a chance. Why? Leverkusen had at the moment many problems. Hugh problem is the personal of captian Michael Ballack. All journalists Questions goes around this theme. Good news comes under the week of the injurd players. Against Stuttgart so all Players are fit, only long injurd players like Barnetta and Adler are missing. Last week against Bremen coach Dutt played with a new system, Bender is now playing for Ballack in the offensive midfield and Rolfes for him in the defensive midfield. If a use of Sidney Sam is impossible for beginning will Castro playing on his old position as RV, if not Corduka will begin. That is the hugh strength of the team, the players are very flexibel. Possible line-up:

Leno - Corluka, Schwaab, M. Friedrich, Kadlec - Reinartz, Rolfes -Castro, Bender, Schürrle - Kießling

By Stuttgart there are problems in the last matches clearly in the Defensive. Under the week Boulahrouz returns back into training. New addition player Ibisevic couldnt convince against Gladbach but the blamage wasnt his fault. In my opinion tch more variable. he interaction between him and Cacau can work very good, but it needs some time. Failures are today not to reject and some coach labbadia has a lot of alternatives. One position in midfield is at the moment still vancat. Hajnal,Gentner and kuzmanovic are fighting for the place next to Kvist. Tactically Stuttgart will start in a 4-2-2-2. how it looks like Hajnal will starts in midfield what is very offensive. Also coach labbadia said that he want to play with 2 strikers.
Possible line-up:

Ulreich - Boulahrouz, Tasci, Maza, Molinaro - Kvist, Hajnal - Harnik, Okazaki - Ibisevic, Cacau

All in all I see here a highscoring match. The Strenghness of both teams is clearly in the offensive, Stuttgart has today also not really much pressure, because many people think that they will lose. By leverkusen will return players like Sam what makes their match more variable. I am very sure that both teams will score and Odds of 1,88 are more then playable